摘 要
随着社会的发展，经济多元化趋势越来越明显，可以用各项国民经济指标来衡量地区的经济发展情况，本次任务针对福建省2000-2004年主要的国民经济主要指标，包括了地区的总产出，消费水平，人口数，从业人员数等各项重要指标。
论文任务首先从数据采集开始，通过使用Visual Studio 2005开发工具设计数据输入工具，将所需数据统一录入到Excel表格中，在根据要求对表格中的数据进行统计分析，结合查阅的资料对福建省实际的经济发展情况进行了总结分析，为后面的动态系统建模打下基础。
通过学习新的系统思考软件STELLA进行建模，对模型进行了深入的了解和研究，明白动态系统建模的基本思想，通过研究对象之间的数理逻辑关系建立模型，并运行模型分析结果，再通过实际数据对模型进行调整，使得模型能够更真实和科学的反映出研究对象的变化规律。
运行动态系统模型，以时间为变量，随着时间的变化，系统运行得到未来的模拟数据，从而得出区域经济的趋势以及变化，并结合各年份福建对促进经济发展所做出的政策调整，以及该政策实施后对经济的实际影响和作用，从而可以预测和估计流域经济发展的方向，并针对需要调整政策，以便于维持和促进地区经济的发展。
关键词：福建；经济；政策；国民经济主要指标；模型；管理
Social, economic and environmental dynamic modeling system
Abstract
Along with social development, economic diversification trend is becoming increasingly obvious. We can use various economic indicators to measure the region's economic development. This task is the major economic indicators of 2000-2004 in Fujian including the regional total output, the level of consumption, population, number of employees and other important indicators.
Papers from the first tasks of data collection, through the use of Visual Studio 2005 development tool design data entry tool Unity will be necessary input data to Excel form, in accordance with the requirements of the form of statistical data analysis, combining the data of Fujian actual economic development of a summary analysis, back to the dynamic system modeling lay the groundwork.
Through the study of the new system Thinking software STELLA to model, after understanding the model in-depth and study dynamic system modeling to understand the basic idea , through the study of mathematical logic modeling, and operating model results, and through the actual data adjustments to the model, Models can be made more real and scientific research reflects the changes.
Run the Dynamic system modeling, model with time as variable, with the change of time, the system is simulated data in future of, Thus, it reached a regional economic trends and changes, and the combination of Fujian year to promote economic development, as well as a policy adjustment and the implementation of policies on the actual economic impact and role, so we can predict and estimate valley in the direction of economic development, and to the need to adjust its policy in order to preserve and promote the region's economic development
Keywords: Fujian; Economy; Policy; Major economic indicators; Model; Management
